Wary-Assumption
0x0d6248cc44db07dbbfba0a9dbc0fcc2144a7804e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
666 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
422 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.89
- YES
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?
164 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
17 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.45
- YES
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bronny score a point against the Celtics?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$13.77Jan 25, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$14.57Jan 25, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.50Jan 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$25.50Jan 24, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?$16.34Jan 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$16.34Jan 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$18.27Jan 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$0.20Mar 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$7.45Mar 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump bans China from buying US farmland?$3.20Mar 23, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US sanction Russia before May?$0.00Mar 23, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US sanction Russia before May?$4.35Mar 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$7.89Mar 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$3.00Mar 11, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US sanction Russia before May?$1.00Mar 7, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bronny score a point against the Celtics?$1.00Mar 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on March 9?$2.00Mar 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on March 8?$2.00Mar 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?$3.00Mar 7, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump bans China from buying US farmland?$3.00Mar 7, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".