Sane-Pyramid
0x0d69fbcfc495fe1f7e5ac822a1ec4b6461d80e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$22.57
Total PnL
$-11.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
18 shares @ 56.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.81
$7.81
- NO
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will China win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
66 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?$1.37Feb 13, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in New York City be between $580,000 and $590,000 by February 1?$2.08Feb 13, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$7.87Feb 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.60Jan 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.45Jan 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.16Jan 25, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$2.17Jan 25, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$7.41Jan 25, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$11.63Jan 25, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$1.85Jan 21, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.00Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$0.00Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$0.00Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?$0.00Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?$0.00Jan 21, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 09:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.