Acceptable-Soybean
0x0d6fb5f655e95651f505a5cc2d8f77767a8cf28f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$77.59
Total PnL
$-22.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$57.00
$30.21
- NO
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?
28 shares @ 74.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$20.59
$-0.43
- NO
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
81 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-52.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?$21.29Jul 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$61.81Jul 15, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.50Jul 15, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.12Jul 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$58.60Jul 15, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.60Jul 15, 09:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$62.00Jul 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$23.86Jun 30, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$44.95Jun 25, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.76Jun 25, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?$15.03Jun 25, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$45.00Jun 25, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$64.32May 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?$5.00May 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.56May 28, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31?$10.00May 28, 03:47 UTC
- SPLITWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$65.00May 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?$53.30Apr 15, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 12?$10.01Apr 15, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 23-29?$15.06Apr 15, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $25.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.