Modern-Pickaxe
0x0d7d04d2eee27755b9ca44631a3eb37c2cb5928a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$-576.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
195 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.10
$-9.64
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
3159 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-284.50
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
2143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
1977 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-59.21
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?
1071 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
980 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?
867 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on September 23?
845 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.6KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?$20.00Jul 3, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $37.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.