Giddy-Beating
0x0d7dfbcd9113b1ebe6b2e7670aeaaf7042b5bbe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.3K
Realised
$14.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
30349 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-19.1K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
12731 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10379 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5675 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?
2541 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-140.80
- YES
Will Trump win 1 swing state?
2060 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
1819 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
1716 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
1685 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
1563 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio Presidential Election?$140.80Nov 6, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$140.80Nov 6, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.5KNov 6, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$247.46Nov 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$250.00Nov 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$200.00Nov 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.0KNov 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$9.2KNov 1, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.0KNov 1, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.5KNov 1, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$250.00Oct 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $500.00Oct 29, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$100.00Oct 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$400.00Oct 26, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.0KOct 26, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Sep 30, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Aug 20, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$88.12Jul 26, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$87.96Jul 26, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.