Recent-Pint
0x0d7e0705f842a3d23a0c22f6e35b37fdb77756b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$12.07
Total PnL
$-0.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.00
$0.63
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Rachel Lord announced as next BlackRock CEO?
8 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 17?
8 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?
7 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
7 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
6 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will Vermin Supreme get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
6 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?
6 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$5.00Dec 24, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win on 2025-09-13?$1.00Sep 12, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$4.27Aug 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$4.00Aug 9, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$6.37Jul 31, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?$0.03Dec 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.06Nov 29, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$0.01Nov 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kraken IPO in 2024?$0.09Nov 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2024?$0.16Nov 5, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELL>50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$0.11Nov 5, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$0.03Nov 4, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2024-11-02?$5.00Nov 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryce Hall be the first player to get felted in The House Poker Night?$0.54Nov 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Hall be the first player to get felted in The House Poker Night?$0.60Nov 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$334.39Nov 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.50Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.52Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.56Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?$0.48Nov 2, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 10:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.