Leafy-Rehospitalization
0x0d9ce11f466ee96bc4f1a70e4802bc6e5205e78f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$57.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?
5954 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-508.95
- YES
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
859 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?
811 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
626 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
269 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
219 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-35.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$145.00Apr 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$35.00Apr 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$50.00Jan 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$50.00Jan 21, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$112.20Jan 21, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?$50.00Jan 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$100.00Jan 20, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLEric Adams a Republican before April?$163.04Dec 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEric Adams a Republican before April?$500.00Dec 25, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$1.4KNov 16, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor vs. Serrano$338.68Nov 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor vs. Serrano$102.63Nov 16, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$102.63Nov 16, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$908.75Nov 15, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?$817.58Nov 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?$56.11Nov 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump appoint Scott Jennings for White House Press Secretary?$1.1KNov 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMatt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?$186.17Nov 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?$144.83Nov 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?$150.00Nov 14, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $330.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.