Hard-Lay
0x0d9da151ab6ea01bf4d7819deb0c2573acb92d99
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on December 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$40.06Dec 22, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?$9.03Dec 22, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?$9.03Dec 22, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$20.28Dec 22, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in December 2025?$40.04Dec 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$20.00Dec 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $120 on December 18?$1.00Dec 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on December 18?$1.00Dec 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?$3.00Dec 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?$1.00Dec 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?$3.00Dec 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C or higher on December 18?$2.00Dec 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 18?$3.00Dec 18, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on December 18?$1.00Dec 18, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on December 16?$1.00Dec 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 16?$1.00Dec 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on December 16?$1.00Dec 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 December 15-21?$4.00Dec 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 18?$1.00Dec 16, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 18?$1.00Dec 16, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".