0x0d9e91a17992f1dcd21993d50c56612f468c1103
0x0d9e91a17992f1dcd21993d50c56612f468c1103
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$213.90
Total PnL
$-13.31
Realised
$3.96
Win rate
100%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
10 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$10.15
$0.55
- CLUB TIJUANA
Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$10.11
$0.51
- CD GUADALAJARA
Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.11
$0.51
- WITCHCRAFT
LoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$9.26
$0.46
- YES
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$9.17
$0.37
- NO
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
8 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$8.18
$0.34
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$7.82
$0.04
- NO
Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$7.07
$0.28
- RC CELTA DE VIGO
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.95
$0.36
- FC FAMALICÃO
Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$5.95
$0.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 18, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 17, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 17, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 17, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.00Mar 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$1.50Mar 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings?$1.50Mar 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$4.29Mar 16, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$3.09Mar 13, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$3.00Mar 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Arctic Pandas vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$4.63Mar 12, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$9.60Mar 12, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMAir Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack$7.49Mar 12, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAir Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack$7.20Mar 10, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Baam Esports vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4$8.80Mar 10, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.00Mar 10, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.00Mar 10, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$0.00Mar 10, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.