Demanding-Sprinkles
0x0db063e4206c46d527c51f25c95a99030c34f6b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-297.09
Win rate
6%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
4205 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
4159 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
882 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
521 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
18 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$42.67Aug 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$32.71Aug 22, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$41.15Aug 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$45.90Aug 22, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$41.62Aug 22, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.01Aug 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Aug 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$46.62Aug 22, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$40.98Aug 22, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.89Aug 22, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$27.91Aug 22, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$41.06Aug 22, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.01Aug 22, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$65.88Aug 22, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$41.21Aug 22, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$37.20Aug 22, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$40.64Aug 22, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$42.38Aug 22, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$40.87Aug 22, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$43.01Aug 22, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $81.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 00:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 01:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.