Identical-Neuron
0x0db92f28fd25ced4b1f3d05aa325001b340d5438
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-772.02
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
583 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-567.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
428 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-415.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
92 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-90.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
31 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
24 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
22 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
21 shares @ 97.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?$0.63Aug 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?$0.37Aug 9, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?$4.94Aug 9, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?$5.98Aug 7, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 29?$5.00Jul 29, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 29?$4.95Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on July 29?$5.00Jul 27, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on July 29?$4.95Jul 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on July 27?$5.00Jul 26, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on July 27?$4.95Jul 26, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on July 26?$5.00Jul 25, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on July 26?$0.25Jul 25, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on July 26?$4.95Jul 25, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on July 26?$0.25Jul 25, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.94Jul 24, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$30.13Jul 19, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$29.00Jul 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$17.17Jul 19, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$10.96Jul 19, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$29.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $12.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.