Enchanting-Alias
0x0dbcc6da62a6e09ed56a84e4504348a0189b8e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
24473 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-92.97
- NO
Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Celtic end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
580 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
402 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7AM ET
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 25?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
250 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$2.50Jul 26, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$2.50Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$0.80Jul 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$2.62Jul 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$3.92Jul 19, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$0.08Jul 19, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$2.50Jul 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$3.00Jul 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$2.29Jul 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$0.68Jul 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$0.03Jul 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?$5.21Jul 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$4.11Jul 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$0.89Jul 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?$4.00Jul 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$3.50Jul 14, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?$3.00Jul 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$5.19Jul 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$5.00Jul 11, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?$5.14Jul 9, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.