0x0dc000bbf06ed5d7b7e20cdcdc85d5f7098ed365
0x0dc000bbf06ed5d7b7e20cdcdc85d5f7098ed365
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$53.39
Total PnL
$-29.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 4.9¢·now 22.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.19
$8.72
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
261 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.05
$5.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$4.85
$3.85
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
26 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.05
$-0.39
- YES
South Africa to score first vs. Canada?
10 shares @ 28.3¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.85
$-0.09
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 38.2¢·now 51.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
158 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.66
$-1.82
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
9 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.62
$-0.18
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
62 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.58
$-0.16
- YES
Will Dan Barker win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
24 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa to score first vs. Canada?$2.00Jun 28, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay to score first vs. Germany?$1.03Jun 28, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?$1.04Jun 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 28, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Balance be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04Jun 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?$0.62Jun 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?$0.42Jun 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$1.03Jun 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jun 28, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMJordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$2.56Jun 28, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMUzbekistan to score first vs. DR Congo?$3.33Jun 28, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMCroatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$2.13Jun 28, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMEngland to score first vs. Panama?$1.22Jun 28, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$3.56Jun 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$1.03Jun 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan to score first vs. DR Congo?$1.03Jun 27, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: Both Teams to Score$1.03Jun 27, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$1.76Jun 27, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. France: Both Teams to Score$1.75Jun 27, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$5.01Jun 26, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.