Thrifty-Handicap
0x0dc5a561af3e3d14bec8b8fc7ef2c0776252a303
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
197
Open notional
$11.8K
Total PnL
$-40.5K
Realised
$159.13
Win rate
26%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 197- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
3196 shares @ 73.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$324.72
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
5825 shares @ 59.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$-860.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3725 shares @ 45.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$367.65
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4949 shares @ 19.1¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.4K
$438.87
- YES
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1526 shares @ 65.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$953.87
$-46.13
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1179 shares @ 42.4¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$613.33
$113.33
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
1100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$577.50
$27.50
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
225000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$337.50
$-112.50
- YES
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2635 shares @ 12.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$303.02
$-28.98
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$232.14
$-17.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.8KJun 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$300.00Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$275.00Jun 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$443.39Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$932.04Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$200.00Jun 12, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.00Jun 12, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$172.00Jun 12, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$628.77Jun 12, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$257.45Jun 12, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$500.00Jun 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.7KJun 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$600.00Jun 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$830.00Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$475.20Jun 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$655.00Jun 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.0KJun 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1000.00Jun 11, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $572.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.