Monstrous-Certainty
0x0dd3f0f876f572490db9c37ed6b44a3e761eb662
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-595.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 25?$9.47Jun 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 25?$9.42Jun 24, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of June 15 2026?$22.16Jun 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of June 15 2026?$21.52Jun 16, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10?$12.00Jun 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 10?$11.87Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200?$14.00Jun 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $200?$13.30Jun 3, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 1?$9.43Jun 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 1?$9.38May 31, 02:41 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?$100.00May 12, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?$535.68May 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?$644.80May 12, 07:39 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on May 13?$1.3KMay 12, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Capitals (-1.5)$0.00Mar 21, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Capitals (-1.5)$1.5KMar 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Capitals (-1.5)$27.60Mar 20, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Capitals (-1.5)$978.20Mar 20, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $250.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.