Large-Fat
0x0dd8d5afd111221d721aa36c872a173115ac8883
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-39.20
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
1030 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.01
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?
620 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-49.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
209 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
188 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
162 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
113 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
112 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
102 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-89.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$180.52Jul 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$180.34Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$175.49Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$175.19Jul 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$170.48Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$173.67Jul 21, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$160.99Jul 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$159.50Jul 21, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$150.73Jul 21, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$151.52Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$150.10Jul 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$150.06Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$136.04Jul 21, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$135.89Jul 21, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$125.79Jul 21, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$120.48Jul 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$101.19Jul 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$101.99Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$100.21Jul 21, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$104.34Jul 21, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $107.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.