Prickly-Signup
0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$165.8K
Total PnL
$15.8K
Realised
$10.5K
Win rate
82%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
17997 shares @ 88.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.2K
$1.3K
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
14643 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.1K
$597.88
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
11838 shares @ 85.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.1K
$914.72
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
11964 shares @ 90.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.1K
$275.12
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
11364 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.9K
$19.05
- NO
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
9272 shares @ 84.6¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.7K
$907.25
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
8451 shares @ 88.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$515.68
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
8745 shares @ 87.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$354.95
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
9376 shares @ 82.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$171.91
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
8207 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$188.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.52Jul 25, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.99Jul 25, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$3.8KJul 25, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$4.4KJul 25, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$840.00Jul 25, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.97Jul 25, 09:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $185.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.