Modest-Larch
0x0de083bd93d0422524ec2ab553ef88669be35112
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$111.11
Total PnL
$-158.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$111.11
$91.11
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Election certified on January 6?
638 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
475 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
250 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
230 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire?
205 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Biden resign before the election?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?
84 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will there be another debate?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?$15.00Dec 5, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$25.00Dec 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$5.00Dec 5, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Dec 5, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?$20.00Dec 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$10.00Nov 7, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Nov 7, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 7, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$25.90Oct 13, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Brat" before August?$0.00Oct 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$48.80Sep 20, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be another debate?$25.00Sep 20, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$1.80Jul 28, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out in July? $55.56Jul 27, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$10.00Jul 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump vs. Biden: Staircase Olympics$10.00Jul 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Brat" before August?$10.00Jul 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Was there an order to hold fire?$15.00Jul 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out before September?$25.00Jul 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign before the election?$25.00Jul 26, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $15.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".