Wallet profile

Angry-Crowd

0x0de4458d107bb01a375879e8061c979269203158

activity 24/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

24/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-8.4K

Realised

$-300.93

Win rate

0%

193 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.15Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.11Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.09Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.33Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.41Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.76Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.26Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.51Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.33Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.15Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$11.98Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$10.43Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$15.27Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$13.75Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$13.07Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$12.22Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$19.08Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$15.18Jun 30, 00:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

63/100
read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 193 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

193 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity23 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry62 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk27 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
7
Avg trade size
$6.64
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
May 31, 18:05 UTC
Last active
Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample
193 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on PolymarketView on Polygonscan
updated 16:31:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data