Eminent-Pepper
0x0dedae6a02ea2ff8018ba5f277632919ed1c9025
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$321.84
Realised
$126.66
Win rate
94%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call?
2006 shares @ 22.2¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$742.11
$296.63
- YES
Will Microsoft say "Gaming" during earnings call?
119 shares @ 91.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$108.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will PayPal say "Users" during earnings call?
238 shares @ 79.2¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$102.52
$-86.30
- YES
Will Procter & Gamble say "Commodity" during earnings call?
88 shares @ 95.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$83.14
$-0.58
- YES
Will Amazon say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during earnings call?
85 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$81.87
$4.59
- YES
Will Meta say "Cloud" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$77.00
$25.00
- NO
Will Microsoft say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?
72 shares @ 89.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$65.16
$0.68
- NO
Will Procter & Gamble say "Profit" 10+ times during earnings call?
47 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$44.53
$0.91
- YES
Will Amazon say "Live Sports" during earnings call?
61 shares @ 57.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$40.87
$6.10
- NO
Will Procter & Gamble say "Collusion" during earnings call?
42 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.30
$1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?$28.48Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$2.80Jul 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "World Cup" during earnings call?$0.10Jul 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$12.79Jul 28, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?$18.50Jul 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boeing say "Moon" during earnings call?$44.88Jul 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$5.96Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$0.62Jul 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$0.02Jul 28, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$5.66Jul 28, 08:39 UTC
- MERGEWill Amazon say "International" during earnings call?$15.00Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "International" during earnings call?$0.60Jul 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$0.06Jul 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$1.20Jul 28, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon say "America" during earnings call?$47.50Jul 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?$7.20Jul 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Layoff / Job Cut" during earnings call?$27.00Jul 28, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$3.72Jul 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$2.63Jul 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?$5.05Jul 28, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
94% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.