Silent-Sensibility
0x0dee24e031a7d0c1483dbbba0e54fcc6a44d7950
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-90.62
Realised
$-3.64
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will SSC Bari win on 2025-12-04?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-03?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?
308 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
241 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TEXAS LONGHORNS
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Texas Longhorns
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
106 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 18, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.01Mar 18, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$6.25Mar 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$1.00Mar 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$0.50Mar 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$0.63Mar 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$1.00Mar 16, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.30Mar 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.30Mar 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.06Mar 16, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.50Mar 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$0.34Mar 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$1.00Mar 16, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$1.00Mar 16, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.