0x0df7de413f090c929a3ba0b3ec2fd35f8e867af0
0x0df7de413f090c929a3ba0b3ec2fd35f8e867af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$92.11
Total PnL
$-40.25
Realised
$-2.06
Win rate
0%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- THIAGO AGUSTIN TIRANTE
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
29 shares @ 34.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$28.99
$18.99
- NO
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?
12 shares @ 33.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$12.03
$8.03
- NICOLAS KICKER
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$5.71
$3.71
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
5 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.74
$2.74
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?
12 shares @ 16.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.79
$1.79
- NO
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-08-15?
3 shares @ 59.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.36
$1.36
- MATTIA BELLUCCI
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik
7 shares @ 28.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.77
$0.77
- LUIZA FULLANA
ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women: Carolina Bohrer Martins vs Luiza Fullana
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.44
$1.44
- SORANA CIRSTEA
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova
3 shares @ 62.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.32
$0.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5$1.03Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik$1.04Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sevilla FC 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?$1.05Aug 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFluminense FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5$1.01Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5$1.03Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMAcadémico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara: Draw at halftime?$5.70Aug 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata$1.03Aug 15, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-15?$1.30Aug 15, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-08-15?$1.06Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vila Nova FC win on 2026-08-15?$1.06Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Mallorca vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5$1.02Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-15?$1.04Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frech$3.58Aug 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante$1.04Aug 15, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova$1.02Aug 15, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMFC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5$2.52Aug 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik$1.04Aug 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-15?$1.01Aug 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?$1.05Aug 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 4.5$1.05Aug 15, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
39 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.