Jagged-Persimmon
0x0dfee1ed6f4d3640b4bc13388ec9743a3537de4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$80.19
Total PnL
$-70.88
Realised
$-23.18
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?
25 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$25.41
$14.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 22?
23 shares @ 55.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$22.99
$10.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 32.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$10.44
$7.08
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 11.1¢·now 74.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.42
$6.31
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.25
$0.85
- NO
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.65
$-0.85
- YES
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.01
$0.00
- YES
Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.