Burdensome-Salt
0x0e0285a6e48d993d9f5baed985a37c49973011ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.92
Total PnL
$-3.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.42
$0.01
- NO
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 29?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.16
$0.00
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- YES
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.58
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 25?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 29?$1.16Jun 29, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?$1.21Jun 29, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.41Jun 13, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.48Apr 14, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.56Apr 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.06Apr 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.56Mar 29, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET$2.22Dec 30, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.43Dec 30, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.45Dec 30, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET$1.13Dec 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$2.35Dec 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.58Dec 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$1.15Dec 4, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.07Nov 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 25?$1.52Nov 22, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?$3.58Nov 22, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$3.82Nov 22, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $270?$0.00Nov 16, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.