Physical-Sandpaper
0x0e066c115c67756c46e8ac728913ec0da19a93c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-325.92
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 9-15?
640 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 9-15?
605 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8AM ET
538 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $70?
527 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $90?
180 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
131 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$4.89Feb 27, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?$8.64Feb 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?$2.93Feb 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.25Feb 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$17.65Feb 25, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$4.40Feb 18, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$4.40Feb 18, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$11.73Feb 18, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$8.04Feb 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?$22.73Feb 14, 18:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.19Feb 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "Affordability" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?$5.00Feb 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)$5.00Feb 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?$5.00Feb 13, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 13:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".