Political-Semantics
0x0e082b1b575e5fa1aa08825645a2cd954dfefb90
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$749.17
Total PnL
$-44.98
Realised
$-2.73
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
300 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$268.50
$7.50
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.90
$9.90
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 88.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.40
$10.60
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
107 shares @ 93.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.07
$-0.93
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.50
$5.50
- UNDER
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.40
$0.20
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.58
$0.13
- YES
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.68
$-0.03
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.15
$0.05
- YES
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$50.00Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5$9.20Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5$100.00Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jun 14, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$49.49Jun 14, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5$96.12Jun 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$3.27Jun 14, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$3.09Jun 14, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$93.20Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-2.5)$3.45Jun 14, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?$1.10Jun 14, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.94Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?$1.87Jun 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?$0.84Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye?$0.16Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$3.36Jun 14, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.80Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$4.69Jun 14, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$5.00Jun 14, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMHaiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$55.99Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.