Ample-Frog
0x0e08402a9d98a7f4d5fc295d04d241ff46913e1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.85
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$-5.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
309 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.85
$-2.35
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
4420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
4420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2412 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2410 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2410 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2410 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2408 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2406 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2406 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Mar 21, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$5.08Mar 21, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$5.12Mar 21, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 4, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$5.00Feb 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$5.00Feb 4, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m?$1.00Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.02Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.04Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.06Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.06Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.10Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$1.26Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?$1.34Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.10Feb 4, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $289.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".