Miserly-Lover
0x0e09210daec4e9011a931b4dd2ef7ff103b5ab25
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$-4.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
37197 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
6214 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-240.29
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4844 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-775.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
4041 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?
2804 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
2755 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?
2581 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?
2288 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
2181 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?
1923 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$932.38Mar 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.81Mar 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$931.71Mar 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$937.97Mar 12, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$937.96Mar 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.9KMar 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$700.31Mar 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.2KMar 12, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$954.88Mar 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$875.32Mar 10, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Mar 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$657.34Mar 10, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$657.35Mar 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$629.23Mar 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$400.13Mar 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$189.17Mar 5, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$600.00Mar 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$500.00Mar 5, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$100.00Jan 10, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLICE shooter charged by March 31?$727.03Jan 9, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $363.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.