Buttery-Hive
0x0e1177ca225eb88519303c26e25f5f136d949467
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-81.49
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
6780 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- YES
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
2750 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-257.96
- YES
Will Morocco win the World Cup?
1629 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-55.76
- YES
Will Morocco vs. Madagascar end in a draw?
552 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
- YES
Will Morocco score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
462 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.56
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
227 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the World Cup?$57.38Jul 8, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$51.89Jul 6, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Jul 6, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$52.52Jul 6, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$104.43Jul 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.62Jul 6, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$102.04Jul 5, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$103.09Jul 5, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$113.21Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$96.22Jul 5, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$245.08Jul 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$134.71Jul 5, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$100.78Jul 5, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$228.61Jul 5, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$5.15Jul 3, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$5.11Jul 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$5.73Jul 3, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?$3.90Jul 3, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$13.16Jul 3, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$1.83Jul 3, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $72.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 22:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.