Rowdy-Rust
0x0e21ab268b66edf02ab2984cd1bb28d2993114dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.61
Total PnL
$-179.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.20
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.20
$0.04
- NO
Will Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.08
$0.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ian Calderon advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.12Jun 6, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 6, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.21Jun 6, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 14?$1.41Jun 6, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.20Jun 6, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.35Jun 6, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.56Jun 6, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?$1.12May 14, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.16May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.17May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 14?$1.40Apr 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$2.20Apr 13, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.10Apr 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.31Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.34Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.21Apr 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.30Mar 22, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.20Mar 22, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.20Mar 22, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $330?$1.30Mar 22, 01:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $157.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.