Complex-Engineering
0x0e29d713c92a646b844863cf439cabee4b01f4aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-52.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11710 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2806 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Trump in jail before election day?
1746 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-319.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-52.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
703 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-476.98
- NO
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
612 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
588 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Utah Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Buccaneers$750.27Jan 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Buccaneers$275.09Jan 13, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Buccaneers$25.02Jan 13, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$25.03Nov 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$489.96Nov 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 5, 18:31 UTC
- REWARD$0.17Nov 5, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$426.98Nov 4, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?$84.79Nov 4, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?$4.60Nov 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?$18.40Nov 4, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$0.00Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift attend the DNC?$0.00Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMSaints vs. Panthers$319.18Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaints vs. Panthers$200.33Nov 3, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?$99.00Nov 3, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$700.00Nov 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.8KNov 3, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$975.45Oct 31, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$19.70Oct 31, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $269.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.