Plain-Warlord
0x0e2f6e3a56dfe2671c0cc528a8039dfb200cf54d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$111.31
Total PnL
$-447.43
Realised
$26.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.71
$-39.28
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
444 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.89
$-11.11
- YES
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
1077 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.08
$-124.92
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
58 shares @ 20.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.63
$-5.37
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
668 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-173.68
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
59 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Croatia to score first vs. England?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $71.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.