Subdued-Shoes
0x0e443457362542878f7e7a5b0a763249abaea3e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$366.67
Total PnL
$-127.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
367 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$366.67
$146.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
442 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
311 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
83 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
77 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Jun 19, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jun 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$20.72Jun 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$104.75Jun 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$105.04Jun 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$103.36Jun 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$222.64Jun 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$103.11Jun 19, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$30.12Jun 19, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$25.30Jun 19, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$305.80Jun 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$104.71Jun 19, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$26.18Jun 19, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$83.33Jun 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$40.62Jun 19, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$243.90Jun 18, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$104.13Jun 18, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$133.33Jun 18, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.35Jun 18, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$101.75Jun 18, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $68.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 19:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.