Fearless-Operating
0x0e4922e4983cc78b0870e1994cde520db0e2fc23
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$189.37
Total PnL
$-524.19
Realised
$-180.14
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
99 shares @ 68.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$99.48
$31.76
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
85 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$85.23
$67.33
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
107 shares @ 57.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.65
$-56.46
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
370 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-284.47
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
112 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-74.07
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.18
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$3.25Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$3.25Feb 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$62.70Feb 18, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Feb 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$0.00Feb 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$19.95Feb 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$1.05Feb 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$5.02Feb 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$61.12Feb 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$16.68Feb 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$1.65Feb 17, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$0.00Feb 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$29.70Feb 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$23.00Feb 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$8.41Feb 17, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$70.39Feb 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.08Jan 8, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?$2.09Jan 8, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$71.99Jan 8, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$54.20Jan 8, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $31.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.