Alive-Volatility
0x0e5bc7d7affb168cc3dede5c82e84b73f3538d8b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.39
Realised
$6.96
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 20?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
142 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.60Mar 1, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$3.14Mar 1, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$3.17Mar 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.25Mar 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.25Mar 1, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.16Mar 1, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.18Mar 1, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.34Mar 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.35Mar 1, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$3.11Mar 1, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$3.10Mar 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2.08Mar 1, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 28?$0.47Feb 28, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$2.61Feb 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$1.65Feb 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.21Feb 28, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".