0x0e5cc820685c37de86381bfd6857c804e26c1e7f
0x0e5cc820685c37de86381bfd6857c804e26c1e7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-752.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?
550 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-225.50
- NO
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?
510 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-290.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
450 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?
90 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-33.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his FOX Noticias interview?
10 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET$985.00Aug 19, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET$492.50Aug 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$198.00May 14, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?$33.30May 13, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMTafa vs. Tokkos$32.50May 13, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?$290.70May 7, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?$290.00May 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?$104.40May 6, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$105.00May 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$3.30May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$3.30May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$3.30May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$3.30May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$3.30May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-05-04?$52.80May 4, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTafa vs. Tokkos$31.85May 4, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?$96.35Apr 19, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?$129.15Apr 19, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 18?$140.00Apr 19, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mediterranean" during Meloni visit on April 17?$5.00Apr 19, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $76.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.