Criminal-Enthusiasm-Context
0x0e5e593853e5a8f21d139bc5e824b0d1599b35c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$154.77
Total PnL
$-81.76
Realised
$1.94
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 24?
25 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$21.63
$-0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 23?
25 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$19.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 23?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$16.00
$-0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 23?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$15.50
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$15.13
$-0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?
18 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.74
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 24?
23 shares @ 59.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$13.18
$-0.59
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?
15 shares @ 63.1¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$8.97
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?
25 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.63
$-1.61
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 24?
30 shares @ 19.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.85
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?$3.60Jul 22, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 23?$1.85Jul 22, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$14.84Jul 22, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?$2.20Jul 22, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?$1.10Jul 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 23?$15.50Jul 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$6.90Jul 22, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?$5.47Jul 22, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 24?$1.00Jul 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?$1.00Jul 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?$4.52Jul 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?$3.00Jul 22, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$5.25Jul 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$1.75Jul 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$5.31Jul 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$4.60Jul 22, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?$1.75Jul 22, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 23?$19.00Jul 22, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 24?$0.68Jul 22, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 23?$1.20Jul 22, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.