Happy-Wife
0x0e64bde21d716711fbe59095eb0c88fae55e336d
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$27.7K
Total PnL
$341.08
Realised
$-28.94
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
10000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.0K
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
115011 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.0K
$57.51
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3352 shares @ 48.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.3K
$720.34
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
2693 shares @ 47.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.2K
$942.75
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
2052 shares @ 41.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.8K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
186332 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.8K
$93.17
- YES
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
84959 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.7K
$552.23
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
2241 shares @ 31.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.5K
$773.14
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
1385 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.4K
$387.11
- YES
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?
2005 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.2K
$30.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.2KAug 5, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$652.00Aug 5, 01:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$17.48Aug 5, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?$180.00Aug 4, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$22.11Aug 4, 03:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Aug 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?$6.3KAug 4, 00:33 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.97Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.06Aug 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?$295.14Aug 3, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?$115.39Aug 3, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.4KAug 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?$1.2KAug 3, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$10.98Aug 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5$0.73Aug 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$771.92Aug 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$70.40Aug 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$880.00Aug 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1.00Aug 3, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$2.5KAug 3, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
$5.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $886.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 03:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.