Humongous-Armoire
0x0e6c399bddef15295c8939acf6bb448858608c26
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.98
Realised
$0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ALCANTARA
FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)
474 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.47
- YES
Will Bill Ackman say "Minimum Credit" during the X Space event on November 18?
389 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.39
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 19?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.35
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.23Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Apr 9, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Apr 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.79Apr 5, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.09Apr 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.43Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.50Apr 5, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.10Apr 5, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.36Apr 5, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 5?$0.69Apr 5, 06:40 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Nov 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$4.83Nov 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$1.15Nov 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$2.99Nov 19, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$6.89Nov 19, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)$0.05Nov 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)$0.02Nov 19, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Sindarov vs Alcantara (Advances)$0.50Nov 19, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 19?$0.05Nov 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "Minimum Credit" during the X Space event on November 18?$0.02Nov 19, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $16.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.