Pessimistic-Chitchat-Collision
0x0e6ce6024f0fa79274cbd7db90e2f682a56b6025
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$259.72
Total PnL
$-554.84
Realised
$-11.78
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?
272 shares @ 47.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$259.47
$129.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?
501 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.25
$-232.53
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?
356 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?
194 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 12?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?$238.10Aug 13, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$84.89Aug 12, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$51.30Aug 12, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 12?$119.76Aug 12, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$102.80Aug 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?$30.79Aug 12, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?$102.60Aug 12, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?$152.58Aug 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?$10.42Aug 11, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 12?$51.42Aug 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?$102.85Aug 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?$51.02Aug 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?$102.42Aug 11, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 11?$0.00Aug 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?$128.85Aug 11, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 11?$282.69Aug 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 12?$81.33Aug 11, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?$51.44Aug 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?$30.78Aug 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?$51.42Aug 11, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $63.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.