Similar-Grain
0x0e7867a08e1d9c91a21369c0e28b6d5586e30c7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.21
Realised
$-21.77
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 18?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?
354 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.23
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
349 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Steven Sunday get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?
325 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?
195 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
194 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
183 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18?
158 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?$10.41Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15?$10.64Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$7.14Jul 6, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.33Jul 6, 06:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5) AND Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$1.82Jul 2, 09:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$3.07Jun 26, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$3.07Jun 26, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$5.10Jun 25, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.