Married-Creek
0x0e8f66baa411bfcc4cb967289bc75b5f739020e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-830.85
Realised
$111.60
Win rate
76%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET
1090 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-8.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11PM ET
1088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - September 15, 9AM ET
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET
925 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET
780 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10PM ET
780 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6AM ET
776 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9PM ET
738 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
716 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.66Oct 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.20Oct 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.07Oct 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Oct 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.05Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.20Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.13Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.18Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.17Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.02Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.18Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.12Oct 30, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.50Oct 30, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Oct 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.32Oct 30, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.11Oct 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.25Oct 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.10Oct 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.10Oct 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.10Oct 30, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.