Ajar-Crystallography
0x0e98b0a9e9b73d623106a44457a9b5825337e39a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$77.95
Total PnL
$-269.43
Realised
$202.16
Win rate
10%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
4473 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$33.54
$-20.13
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August?
4241 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$12.72
$-8.31
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 in August?
1300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$9.10
$-3.90
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
826 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.67
$1.24
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
115 shares @ 8.1¢·now 6.7¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$7.67
$-1.60
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?
363 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.45
$-11.30
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?
104 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.09
$-1.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 18?
150 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.82
$-3.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 5?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?$1.04Aug 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$7.43Aug 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 18?$4.49Aug 17, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$10.77Aug 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.10Aug 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.09Aug 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 17?$31.37Aug 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.10 August 10-16?$10.48Aug 15, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?$55.79Aug 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$3.16Aug 12, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.35Aug 12, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in August?$2.34Aug 12, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in August?$9.02Aug 12, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 3-9?$6.25Aug 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $150 in August?$6.14Aug 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$1.02Aug 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$8.56Aug 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in August?$11.76Aug 6, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 August 3-9?$5.36Aug 6, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
42 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.