Shocked-Civilisation
0x0eaa43c627cd482acb6866a03fe1138495e0c521
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-166.8K
Realised
$5.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
120006 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-26.2K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
106007 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.0K
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
95653 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
80023 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.6K
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
72519 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
61218 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.0K
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
52552 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.2K
- OVER
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
27918 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.8K
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
25192 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.8K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
21643 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$36.66Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$10.0KJul 6, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$10.0KJul 6, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$48.37Jul 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$9.8KJul 6, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$9.3KJul 6, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$19.1KJul 6, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$10.0KJul 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$2.6KMay 27, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$300.00May 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$100.00May 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$5.0KMay 27, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$500.00May 27, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$10.0KMay 27, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$10.0KMay 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1.0KMay 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1000.00May 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$1000.00May 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$2.0KMay 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1000.00May 27, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.