Unlucky-Card
0x0eb0340eb8f4bf2b51d19ae869d1bab4c91477c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$15.88
Total PnL
$-136.67
Realised
$-1.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.34
$-0.71
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1623 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$3.04Jun 15, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 15, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 15, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 11, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?$0.00Mar 24, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$0.00Mar 24, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?$0.00Mar 24, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?$1.30Feb 26, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$1.49Feb 26, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$15.00Feb 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$3.25Feb 12, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?$2.07Feb 12, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.