Arctic-Tolerant
0x0ebc5b84e2ca254a3c3f722fd1c832fbff47cdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$12.61
Total PnL
$-3.99
Realised
$-0.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jake Latimer win Survivor season 49?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.67
$0.00
- NO
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
4 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Jason Treul win Survivor season 49?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.88
$0.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jake Latimer win Survivor season 49?$269.46Dec 15, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?$4.00Dec 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Latimer win Survivor season 49?$274.40Dec 12, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jason Treul win Survivor season 49?$284.14Dec 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Treul win Survivor season 49?$288.30Dec 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.50Dec 11, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public before July?$1.85Dec 11, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?$2.08Dec 11, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut win Nathan's Famous Hot Dog 2025? $2.17Dec 11, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMRecord low border encounters in June?$2.44Dec 11, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord low border encounters in June?$2.00Jun 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut win Nathan's Famous Hot Dog 2025? $2.00Jun 21, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?$2.00Jun 21, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public before July?$1.00Jun 21, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli military action against Iran by Friday?$1.02Jun 21, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship?$1.03Jun 21, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?$1.15Jun 21, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March?$2.08Jun 21, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $41.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".