Crisp-Horseradish
0x0ebd62817b6f2ae5a88dfb494ee8de0a226d86fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$19.77
Total PnL
$-3.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession in 2025?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.76
$1.76
- NO
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$3.85
$1.85
- NO
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
41 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.00Jun 26, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.00Jun 26, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?$2.21Jun 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$5.00Jun 24, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$4.00Jun 22, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?$1.00Jun 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$2.00Jun 18, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMItalian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum$0.00Jun 16, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$3.45Jun 16, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in May?$3.85Jun 16, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India invade Pakistan before July?$6.69Jun 6, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMPadres vs. Giants$0.00Jun 5, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTwins vs. Athletics$0.58Jun 4, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTwins vs. Athletics$2.65Jun 4, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.47Jun 4, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Giants$4.00Jun 4, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Giants$11.00Jun 4, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLRoyals vs. Cardinals$15.18Jun 4, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Cardinals$13.53Jun 4, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on May 30?$0.00Jun 4, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.