Stupendous-Objective
0x0ec451646092f877f80d2b53d5500e50dac05ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$786.26
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.95
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.95
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.95
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.95
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on June 20?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$99.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on June 20?
60 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$59.99
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 20?
55 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$54.42
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 20?
40 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$40.19
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 20?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$32.06
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 20?$81.68Jun 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 20?$18.22Jun 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 20?$99.90Jun 20, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 20?$99.90Jun 20, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 20?$54.45Jun 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 20?$32.05Jun 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on June 20?$99.90Jun 20, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 19?$86.12Jun 20, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on June 20?$99.90Jun 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 85°F or below on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 20?$99.81Jun 20, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?$100.00Jun 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 20?$40.17Jun 20, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 19?$40.17Jun 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on June 20?$59.96Jun 19, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 19?$59.96Jun 19, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $64.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.