Thorough-Backpack
0x0ec8a7836a160958c424c0bbdb28ae4fa8db72fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-417.57
Realised
$-92.76
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?
244 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.41
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 22?
174 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 28?
152 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?
145 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- UP
Solana Up or Down on April 18?
135 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-35.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 16?
114 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?
103 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
93 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-89.67
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 27?
93 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 23?
83 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 16?$2.56Aug 15, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?$3.65Jul 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 27?$1.88Jun 26, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 25?$20.36Jun 25, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 25?$18.73Jun 25, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 24?$2.87Jun 23, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$89.67Jun 4, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$89.14May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$86.02May 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 22?$1.30May 21, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 18?$91.10May 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 18?$0.10May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 18?$88.27May 17, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$93.82May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$90.63May 9, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 11?$88.19Apr 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 18?$2.18Apr 18, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.80 January 12-18?$0.00Apr 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 11?$86.69Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 30, 1PM ET$98.24Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.