Good-Natured-Variation
0x0ec8dfd0195fe51d3dea2596c88ff80fc6ace7a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bitcoin above $112K on September 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
526 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,500 on September 10 at 4PM ET?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 7, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMNancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?$0.00Jan 7, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMNancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?$1.09Jan 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,500 on September 10 at 4PM ET?$1.00Sep 10, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $112K on September 10?$1.00Sep 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $1.00Sep 10, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.32Sep 10, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?$1.79Sep 10, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.00Aug 11, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea App removed from App Store by August 31?$1.00Aug 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$1.00Aug 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?$1.00Aug 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?$1.00Aug 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$1.00Aug 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?$1.00Aug 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $1.00Aug 11, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".